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AHT: 01CSV

31 Aug 2019 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Trapani
27.0%
Draw
52.3%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Trapani

vs
1.63

Venezia

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).