Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Spal
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Spal
vs
1.07
Chievo
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).