Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Stockport
16.9%
Draw
7.4%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Stockport
vs
0.62
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).