Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.1%
Boavista
16.0%
Draw
74.9%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Boavista
vs
2.27
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).