Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Burton
24.1%
Draw
49.4%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Burton
vs
1.48
Charlton
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).