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25 Oct 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.3%
Waasland-Beveren
24.2%
Draw
44.5%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Waasland-Beveren

vs
1.77

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).