Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Barrow
25.9%
Draw
52.8%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Barrow
vs
1.45
Exeter
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).