Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Tamworth
23.6%
Draw
63.2%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Tamworth
vs
1.84
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).