Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Cardiff
31.0%
Draw
44.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Cardiff
vs
1.25
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).