Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Crewe
24.7%
Draw
36.8%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Crewe
vs
1.34
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).