Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.1%
Sheffield Weds
22.5%
Draw
65.4%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.93
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).