Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Kelty Hearts
23.8%
Draw
61.6%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Kelty Hearts
vs
1.81
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).