Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Man United
26.2%
Draw
26.4%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Man United
vs
1.30
Fulham
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).