Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Istra 1961
28.6%
Draw
15.4%
Šibenik
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Istra 1961
vs
0.69
Šibenik
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
0-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).