Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Sp Gijon
26.3%
Draw
21.9%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sp Gijon
vs
0.85
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).