Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Southend
16.4%
Draw
8.6%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Southend
vs
0.77
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).