Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Barcelona
17.4%
Draw
8.2%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Barcelona
vs
0.58
Getafe
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).