⚽ FootballData
Pisa

Home

0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

17 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
69.0%
Pisa
20.1%
Draw
10.8%
Avellino

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Pisa

vs
0.76

Avellino

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).