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16 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Cambridge
24.7%
Draw
38.9%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Cambridge

vs
1.29

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).