Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Sheffield Weds
28.3%
Draw
55.4%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.49
Stoke
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
12.5%
0-0
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).