Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Inverness C
32.6%
Draw
23.2%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Inverness C
vs
0.88
Morton
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).