Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Marseille
16.0%
Draw
11.7%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Marseille
vs
0.90
Nantes
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).