Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Rennes
22.3%
Draw
28.3%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Rennes
vs
1.33
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).