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DHT: 11CSV

05 Feb 2016

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Nancy
18.1%
Draw
67.0%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Nancy

vs
2.12

Metz

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).