Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Dresden
20.1%
Draw
16.0%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Dresden
vs
1.13
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).