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21 Aug 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.0%
Gaziantep
25.9%
Draw
57.2%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Gaziantep

vs
2.04

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).