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AHT: 00CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Erzurum BB
26.8%
Draw
55.3%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Erzurum BB

vs
1.96

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
0-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).