Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Empoli
29.6%
Draw
26.9%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Empoli
vs
1.03
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).