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14 May 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.0%
Juventus
16.9%
Draw
8.1%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Juventus

vs
0.55

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.5%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).