Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Dorking
14.2%
Draw
77.1%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Dorking
vs
2.95
York
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
8.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
0-5
3.7%
1-5
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).