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AHT: 01

28 Feb 2026 · 20:05

Aris

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Le Havre
20.7%
Draw
66.7%
Aris

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Le Havre

vs
1.81

Aris

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).