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Lecce

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AHT: 02CSV

12 Mar 2023 · 11:30

Torino

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Lecce
28.7%
Draw
37.7%
Torino

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Lecce

vs
1.14

Torino

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).