Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Santa Clara
35.2%
Draw
37.8%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Santa Clara
vs
0.96
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.552.1%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.7%
0-1
16.3%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).