Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Valencia
27.3%
Draw
16.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Valencia
vs
0.65
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
12.9%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).