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10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.8%
Cheltenham
17.9%
Draw
71.3%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Cheltenham

vs
2.00

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
0-2
14.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.2%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
2-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).