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22 Feb 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Deportivo Alavés
28.4%
Draw
30.3%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Deportivo Alavés

vs
1.08

Espanol

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).