Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Metz
17.7%
Draw
65.9%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Metz
vs
2.40
Lyon
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).