Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Brest
28.8%
Draw
21.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Brest
vs
0.71
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).