Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Sampdoria
33.1%
Draw
29.2%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Sampdoria
vs
0.93
Brescia
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).