Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Rochdale
22.8%
Draw
7.0%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Rochdale
vs
0.39
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.0%
2-0
18.0%
0-0
12.5%
3-0
10.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
7.0%
4-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
1.8%
5-0
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).