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DHT: 00CSV

21 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Ebbsfleet
25.9%
Draw
50.7%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.70

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).