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30 Mar 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Grenoble
24.0%
Draw
41.8%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Grenoble

vs
1.40

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).