Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Hamburg
25.0%
Draw
22.2%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Hamburg
vs
1.12
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).