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AHT: 12CSV

16 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.9%
Draw
47.5%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
1.70

Stockport

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).