⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
AHT: 11

26 Jul 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
24.0%
Brommapojkarna
26.5%
Draw
49.5%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Brommapojkarna

vs
1.69

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).