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AHT: 12CSV

19 Aug 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Colchester
29.3%
Draw
41.2%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Colchester

vs
1.13

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).