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DHT: 11CSV

05 Feb 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Bielefeld
31.6%
Draw
37.5%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Bielefeld

vs
1.13

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).