Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Crawley Town
24.5%
Draw
31.2%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Crawley Town
vs
1.23
Celtic
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).