Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Cartagena
18.3%
Draw
65.2%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cartagena
vs
2.35
Santander
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).