Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Luton
20.1%
Draw
70.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Luton
vs
2.09
Leeds
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-1
13.1%
0-3
10.0%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).